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The Imbalance in Medical Demand and Supply for Pediatric Victims in an Earthquake
Chiaki Toida1,2, Ichiro Takeuchi1, Takeru Abe1
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Yokohama City University, Graduate School of Medicine, Yokohama, Japan.
Insights
A study quantified the significant imbalance between medical risks and support needs for children after a large earthquake in Kanagawa. This highlights the urgent need for disaster preparedness strategies for pediatric populations.
Area of Science:
- Disaster medicine
- Pediatric emergency care
- Public health preparedness
Background:
- Large-scale earthquakes pose significant challenges to healthcare systems, particularly for vulnerable populations like children.
- Assessing the disparity between medical needs and available resources is crucial for effective disaster response.
Purpose of the Study:
- To quantify the imbalance of medical risks and support needs for children in Kanagawa following a major earthquake.
- To evaluate the adequacy of disaster-based hospital resources for pediatric casualties using specific metrics.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the risk resource ratio (RRR) and need for medical resources (NMR) to assess pediatric medical risks and support needs.
- Estimated RRR and NMR for 33 disaster-based hospitals by comparing estimated pediatric victims with available critical care capacity.
Main Results:
- An estimated 8,391 pediatric victims and 352 vacant beds were identified in Kanagawa.
- Median RRR and NMR for total pediatric victims were 27 and 224, respectively.
- Median RRR and NMR for critically ill pediatric patients were 27 and 12, indicating a resource deficit.
Conclusions:
- The study quantified an absolute imbalance in medical risks and support needs for children in Kanagawa post-earthquake.
- Findings underscore the necessity for proactive disaster preparedness strategies specifically targeting pediatric populations.
Objectives:
We quantified an absolute imbalance of the medical risks and the support needs for children at each disaster-based hospital in Kanagawa immediately following the occurrence of a large earthquake by using the risk resource ratio (RRR) and need for medical resources (NMR).
Methods:
The RRR and NMR of 33 disaster-based hospitals were estimated through dividing the estimated number of pediatric victims by the number of critically patients. We calculated the ratio of the NMR of each hospital.
Results:
The total number of pediatric victims in Kanagawa was estimated at 8,391. The total number of vacant beds for pediatric victims was 352. The median RRR and NMR of the total number of pediatric victims were 27 and 224. The median RRR and NMR of the number of critically ill pediatric patients were 27 and 12.
Conclusions:
The absolute imbalance of the RRR and NMR for children in Kanagawa was quantified. This suggests that we might embark on preparedness strategies for children in advance. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2018;13:672-676).
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