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Bias Correction in Estimating Proportions by Pooled Testing.

Graham Hepworth1, Brad J Biggerstaff2

  • 1School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010, Australia, hepworth@unimelb.edu.au.

Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics
|January 15, 2019
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces a new, nearly unbiased estimator for pooled testing, improving upon existing methods for estimating proportions. The novel approach offers superior performance in plant disease and virus prevalence assessments.

Keywords:
Bias correctionEstimation of proportionsGroup testingPooled testingVirus prevalence

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Area of Science:

  • Statistics
  • Biostatistics
  • Epidemiology

Background:

  • Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) for pooled testing is known to be biased.
  • Existing bias correction methods have limitations.
  • Pooled testing is crucial for disease and virus prevalence estimation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To propose a novel, bias-corrected estimator for pooled testing.
  • To provide an efficient computational method for the new estimator.
  • To evaluate the performance of the proposed estimator against existing methods.

Main Methods:

  • Utilizing Firth's bias correction method (1993) by modifying the score function.
  • Developing a Newton-Raphson iterative formula for computation.
  • Comparing the new estimator with existing bias correction techniques.

Main Results:

  • The proposed estimator demonstrates near-unbiasedness across various scenarios.
  • The new estimator outperforms previously available methods.
  • For equal pool sizes, it is equivalent to Burrows' estimator (1987).

Conclusions:

  • The novel estimator offers a significant improvement for bias correction in pooled testing.
  • The method is applicable to real-world problems like plant disease assessment and virus prevalence studies.
  • The computational formula facilitates practical implementation.