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Variation In Health Spending Growth For The Privately Insured From 2007 To 2014.

Zack Cooper1, Stuart Craig2, Charles Gray3

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Private health spending per enrollee increased by 16.9% from 2007-14, contrasting with a 1.2% decrease in Medicare spending. Spending growth varied significantly across regions, suggesting different drivers for each population.

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Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Healthcare Policy
  • Health Services Research

Background:

  • Employer-sponsored private insurance covers a significant portion of the US population.
  • Understanding trends in private health spending is crucial for policy and financial planning.
  • Previous research has focused more on Medicare spending trends than private insurance.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the growth in health spending for individuals with employer-sponsored private insurance between 2007 and 2014.
  • To compare private health spending growth with Medicare spending growth during the same period.
  • To investigate the variation in private health spending growth across different geographic regions.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the Health Care Cost Institute data set, including insurance claims from major private insurers (Aetna, Humana, UnitedHealthcare).
  • Analyzed per-enrollee spending for privately insured individuals and per-fee-for-service beneficiary spending for Medicare.
  • Examined spending growth rates across Hospital Referral Regions (HRRs) and calculated the correlation between private and Medicare spending growth.

Main Results:

  • Private health spending per enrollee grew by 16.9% from 2007-2014.
  • Medicare spending per fee-for-service beneficiary decreased by 1.2% during the same period.
  • Significant regional variation in private spending growth was observed, with HRRs in the 10th percentile growing at 0.22%/year and the 90th percentile at 3.45%/year.
  • The correlation between private and Medicare spending growth across HRRs was low (0.211).

Conclusions:

  • Growth in private health spending significantly outpaced that of Medicare spending between 2007-2014.
  • Substantial geographic disparities exist in the growth of private health expenditures.
  • The low correlation suggests that distinct factors influence spending growth in privately insured populations versus Medicare beneficiaries.