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Power models and average ship parameter effects on marine emissions inventories
Isabela N Brown1, Michael F Aldridge2
1a U.S. Environmental Protection Agency National Vehicle and Fuel Emissions Laboratory , Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education research participant , Ann Arbor , MI , USA.
Ship power models significantly impact maritime emissions inventories. Detailed models estimate lower emissions than simpler ones, while averaged ship data has minimal effect on overall CO2 calculations.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Marine Engineering
- Atmospheric Chemistry
Background:
- Maritime greenhouse gas emissions are rising, necessitating accurate inventory methods for policy analysis.
- Existing marine emissions inventories often use simplified ship power models, potentially overestimating emissions.
- The influence of different ship power estimation models and data averaging on emission inventories is under-researched.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the impact of various ship power models on maritime emissions inventories.
- To assess the sensitivity of emission estimates to the use of averaged ship parameters.
- To compare complex resistance-based models with simpler load-factor-based models.
Main Methods:
- Utilized 6-month Automated Identification System (AIS) data for a fleet of commercial vessels.
- Employed two complex resistance-based and two simple load-factor-based ship power models.
- Calculated fleet-level carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions using unique and averaged ship parameter data.
Main Results:
- Ship power model choice significantly influences emission inventory outcomes.
- Complex, resistance-based models generally estimate lower propulsive power and emissions than load-factor models.
- Averaging ship parameters across types and subtypes had a minimal impact on overall fleet emissions.
Conclusions:
- The selection of ship power models is critical for accurate maritime emissions inventory development.
- Resistance-based models offer a more nuanced approach, potentially leading to more conservative emission estimates.
- Data averaging for ship characteristics has a low impact, suggesting flexibility in handling sparse registry data.
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