Building a Quantitative Structure-Property Relationship (QSPR) Model

Knowing the physicochemical and general biochemical properties of a compound is critical to understanding how it behaves in different biological environments and to anticipating what is likely to happen in situations where that behavior cannot be measured directly. Quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) models provide a way to predict those properties even before a compound has been synthesized simply by knowing what its structure would be. This chapter describes a general workflow for compiling the data upon which a useful QSPR model is built, curating it, evaluating that model's performance, and then analyzing the predictive errors with an eye toward identifying systematic errors in the input data. The focus here is on models for the absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion (ADME) properties of drugs and toxins, but the considerations explored are general and applicable to any QSPR.