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Published on: November 22, 2017
Post-pandemic influenza-associated mortality in Mexico
Jack N Salto-Quintana1,2, Gerardo Rivera-Alfaro1, Evelyn L Sánchez-Ramos3
1a Microbiology Department, Facultad de Medicina , Universidad Autónoma de San Luis Potosí , San Luis Potosí , México.
Abstract:
Influenza is a leading cause of respiratory tract infections worldwide and there is limited information on the impact of the influenza A(H1N1)pdm virus on mortality after the 2009 pandemic. Using national mortality register data through 1998-2015 in Mexico, influenza-associated mortality was estimated for respiratory, cardiovascular, and all-cause events. The proportion of influenza-associated respiratory and cardiovascular deaths among different age groups were compared. There were 8,853,986 death registries included for the 1998-2015 winter seasons, average influenza-associated respiratory, cardiovascular, and all-cause mortality rates were 5.2, 6.3, and 19.6 deaths/100,000 population, respectively. The largest number of respiratory influenza-associated deaths occurred in adults 60 years of age and older, followed by children <5 years of age; during the 2009 pandemic, 2011-2012, and 2013-2014 winter seasons there was a larger number of deaths in the 20-59 years old group. Influenza-associated mortality rates showed a continuous reduction in children <5 years of age. After the 2009 pandemic, influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus-associated mortality in Mexico showed a persistent change in the demographic pattern of the most severely affected population, particularly during the 2013-2014 season. Influenza associated-mortality has decreased in children <5 years of age and continue to be elevated in adults >60 years of age.
Insights
Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus changed mortality patterns in Mexico post-2009. While deaths decreased in young children, older adults remain highly vulnerable to influenza-associated respiratory and cardiovascular events.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Influenza poses a significant global respiratory infection burden.
- Limited data exists on influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus impact on mortality post-2009 pandemic.
- Understanding demographic shifts in influenza mortality is crucial for public health interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate influenza-associated mortality for respiratory, cardiovascular, and all-cause events in Mexico from 1998-2015.
- To compare the proportion of influenza-associated deaths across different age groups.
- To analyze the demographic impact of influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus on mortality patterns.
Main Methods:
- Utilized national mortality register data from Mexico (1998-2015).
- Calculated average influenza-associated mortality rates per 100,000 population.
- Compared death proportions in various age strata, focusing on key winter seasons.
Main Results:
- Average annual rates: 5.2 (respiratory), 6.3 (cardiovascular), 19.6 (all-cause) deaths/100,000 population.
- Highest respiratory deaths in adults ≥60 years; children <5 also affected.
- Shift observed post-2009, with increased deaths in 20-59 age group during specific pandemic/winter seasons (2009, 2011-12, 2013-14).
- Consistent reduction in mortality rates for children <5 years.
- Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus demonstrated a persistent change in demographic mortality patterns, especially in 2013-2014.
Conclusions:
- Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 virus altered mortality demographics in Mexico post-2009.
- Mortality rates decreased in young children but remain elevated in adults >60.
- Persistent changes in influenza-associated mortality patterns highlight the need for ongoing surveillance and targeted interventions.
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