The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score: fluctuations and prognostic ability in a longitudinal cohort of patients with

R H Gross1, S H Sillau1, A E Miller2

  • 1Department of Neurology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.

Abstract

Insights

The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) often changes in individual patients over time. This suggests caution is needed when using MSSS for predicting multiple sclerosis (MS) progression.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Clinical Research

Background:

  • The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) is used to stratify multiple sclerosis (MS) patients by progression rate.
  • Its prognostic accuracy for individual patients is not well-established.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the stability of MSSS in individual MS patients over time.
  • To identify factors influencing MSSS variability.
  • To evaluate MSSS's ability to predict future ambulatory function.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective review of 122 MS patients followed for at least 8 years.
  • Mixed model regression to analyze MSSS changes over time.
  • Survival analysis and Cox modeling to assess factors influencing MSSS variability and prediction of ambulatory function (Timed 25-Foot Walk).

Main Results:

  • Over half (55.7%) of patients showed a change in MSSS by at least one decile from baseline.
  • Baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) showed a stronger correlation with future ambulatory function than baseline MSSS.
  • MSSS demonstrated a weaker correlation with future ambulatory function compared to EDSS.

Conclusions:

  • Individual MSSS scores frequently fluctuate over time in MS patients.
  • Clinicians should use caution when relying on MSSS for individual prognostication.
  • EDSS may be a more reliable predictor of long-term ambulatory function than MSSS.

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