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Updated: Jan 27, 2026

Comprehensive Autopsy Program for Individuals with Multiple Sclerosis
Published on: July 19, 2019
The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score: fluctuations and prognostic ability in a longitudinal cohort of patients with
R H Gross1, S H Sillau1, A E Miller2
1Department of Neurology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO, USA.
Background:
The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS), combining the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) and disease duration, attempts to stratify multiple sclerosis (MS) patients based on their rate of progression. Its prognostic ability in the individual patient remains unproven.
Objectives:
To assess the stability of MSSS within individual persons with MS in a longitudinal cohort, to evaluate whether certain factors influence MSSS variability, and to explore the ability of MSSS to predict future ambulatory function.
Methods:
A single-center retrospective review was performed of patients following a single provider for at least 8 years. Mixed model regression modeled MSSS over time. A Kaplan-Meier survival plot was fitted, using change of baseline MSSS by at least one decile as the event. Cox modeling assessed the influence of baseline clinical and demographic factors on the hazard of changing MSSS by at least one decile. Linear models evaluated the impact of baseline EDSS, baseline MSSS, and other factors on the Timed 25-Foot Walk (T25FW).
Results:
Out of 122 patients, 68 (55.7%) deviated from baseline MSSS by at least one decile. Final T25FW had slightly weaker correlation to baseline MSSS than to baseline EDSS, which was moderately strongly correlated with future log T25FW.
Conclusion:
Individual MSSS scores often vary over time. Clinicians should exercise caution when using MSSS to prognosticate.
Insights
The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) often changes in individual patients over time. This suggests caution is needed when using MSSS for predicting multiple sclerosis (MS) progression.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Research
Background:
- The Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) is used to stratify multiple sclerosis (MS) patients by progression rate.
- Its prognostic accuracy for individual patients is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the stability of MSSS in individual MS patients over time.
- To identify factors influencing MSSS variability.
- To evaluate MSSS's ability to predict future ambulatory function.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective review of 122 MS patients followed for at least 8 years.
- Mixed model regression to analyze MSSS changes over time.
- Survival analysis and Cox modeling to assess factors influencing MSSS variability and prediction of ambulatory function (Timed 25-Foot Walk).
Main Results:
- Over half (55.7%) of patients showed a change in MSSS by at least one decile from baseline.
- Baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) showed a stronger correlation with future ambulatory function than baseline MSSS.
- MSSS demonstrated a weaker correlation with future ambulatory function compared to EDSS.
Conclusions:
- Individual MSSS scores frequently fluctuate over time in MS patients.
- Clinicians should use caution when relying on MSSS for individual prognostication.
- EDSS may be a more reliable predictor of long-term ambulatory function than MSSS.
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