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The Forgotten Middle: Many Middle-Income Seniors Will Have Insufficient Resources For Housing And Health Care
Caroline F Pearson1, Charlene C Quinn2, Sai Loganathan3
1Caroline F. Pearson ( Pearson-caroline@norc.org ) is a senior vice president at NORC at the University of Chicago in Illinois.
The seniors housing market primarily serves higher-income individuals, leaving many middle-income seniors unable to afford necessary assisted living and independent living care. Future projections indicate a growing need for affordable long-term care solutions for this demographic.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Health Services Research
- Public Policy
Background:
- The seniors housing market has expanded to include assisted living and independent living communities.
- These communities offer housing and personal care services for seniors with complex needs.
- However, current options are often financially inaccessible for many middle-income seniors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the financial accessibility of seniors housing for middle-income older adults.
- To project future needs and financial capabilities of middle-income seniors.
- To identify potential roles for public policy and the private sector.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of demographic trends and financial resources of middle-income seniors (ages 75+).
- Projection of the number of middle-income seniors and their care needs by 2029.
- Assessment of the projected gap between care needs and financial capacity.
Main Results:
- By 2029, 14.4 million middle-income seniors are projected, with significant mobility and high healthcare needs.
- 54% of these seniors are projected to lack sufficient financial resources for private seniors housing.
- A substantial gap exists between the need for and affordability of long-term care services.
Conclusions:
- The private seniors housing market's focus on higher-income individuals creates an affordability gap.
- Urgent consideration of public policy and private sector interventions is needed.
- Addressing the future long-term care and housing needs of middle-income seniors requires innovative solutions.
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