Slow Down of the Gulf Stream during 1993-2016

The Gulf Stream, the main heat-carrier from low to high latitudes in the North Atlantic Ocean, influences the climate and weather in the northern hemisphere. In this study we determine and analyze the position, speed, and width of the Gulf Stream (GS) from 80°W-50°W using satellite altimeter sea surface height (SSH) measurements to examine the possible link between changes in the strength of the GS and coastal sea levels along the U.S. East Coast. During our 24-year study period (1993-2016), the GS experienced a southward shift east of 65°W after passing the New England Seamount chain. This southward shift was accompanied by a weakening of the GS, associated with an increase in SSH to the north of the GS. West of 70°W, however, we found no statistically significant trends in the GS properties, consistent with results based on in situ measurements. This lack of a trend to the west fails to support a direct link between a long-term slowdown of the GS west of 70°W and sea level rise acceleration along the U.S. East Coast, though a slowdown of the GS east of 65°W may contribute to sea level rise. It is also possible that heat carried to the region by the GS may be responsible for these observed sea level changes.