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Evidence for the Jeffrey Table.

Moyun Wang1, Mingyi Zhu1

  • 11 School of Psychology, Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Behavior and Cognitive Neuroscience, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an, PR China.

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Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Science
  • Linguistics
  • Philosophy of Language

Background:

  • Conditional statements are fundamental in natural language.
  • Understanding judgments of singular conditionals with false antecedents is crucial.
  • Existing accounts struggle to explain these judgments adequately.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate how people evaluate singular conditionals when their antecedents are false.
  • To examine the role of conditional probability in these judgments.
  • To compare the Jeffrey table account with other theories.

Main Methods:

  • Two experiments were conducted.
  • Participants provided quantitative credibility ratings.
  • Participants made qualitative truth and falsity judgments for conditionals with false antecedents.

Main Results:

  • When conditional probability information P(q|p) was available, credibility ratings were based on it.
  • "True" and "false" judgments correlated with high and low credibility ratings, respectively.
  • Findings support the Jeffrey table account.

Conclusions:

  • People's judgments of singular conditionals with false antecedents are influenced by conditional probability.
  • The Jeffrey table account provides a better explanation for these judgments than alternatives.
  • This research clarifies the semantics of conditional statements.