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Mischel's situational strength theory suggests strong situations reduce outcome variance. However, this meta-analysis found minimal variance differences between strong and weak situations, often in the opposite direction than predicted.

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Area of Science:

  • Organizational Psychology
  • Management Science
  • Behavioral Economics

Background:

  • Mischel's situational strength theory posits that strong situations constrain dependent variable variance, weakening predictions.
  • Restricted variance (RV) interactions are a key aspect of situational strength theory.
  • Other theories implicitly reference variance compression due to situational autonomy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To empirically test whether situational strength differences lead to predictable variance differences.
  • To examine how often RV effects are explicitly linked to variance changes in research.
  • To investigate the empirical support for variance compression in strong versus weak situations.

Main Methods:

  • Meta-analysis of 132 articles implying restricted variance effects.
  • Analysis focused on 100 articles that allowed for variance comparisons.
  • Review of theoretical arguments and interaction hypotheses concerning variance changes.

Main Results:

  • Few authors explicitly connect theoretical arguments to variance changes.
  • Variance differences between weak and strong situations are generally minimal.
  • When variance differences exist, they are often larger in "strong" situations, contrary to theory.

Conclusions:

  • The empirical evidence for variance compression in situational strength theory is weak.
  • Theoretical assumptions about variance differences in strong vs. weak situations require re-evaluation.
  • Recommendations are provided for future study design and testing of RV interactions.