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Setting the table for meat consumers: an international Delphi study on in vitro meat
Victor Tiberius1, Jenny Borning1, Sabrina Seeler2
11University of Potsdam, August-Bebel-Straße 89, 14482 Potsdam, Germany.
Cultured meat offers a sustainable alternative to traditional meat production. However, experts doubt mass production, cost, and acceptance challenges will be resolved by 2027, necessitating further research and consumer shifts.
Area of Science:
- Food Science
- Sustainable Agriculture
- Biotechnology
Background:
- Growing global meat demand strains agricultural resources and hinders climate change mitigation.
- Conventional meat production faces challenges related to environmental impact (methane emissions) and public health concerns.
- Cultured meat presents a potential solution to these multifaceted issues.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore the projected development and market viability of cultured meat by the year 2027.
- To assess expert opinions on the feasibility of overcoming key challenges in cultured meat production and adoption.
- To understand the timeline for cultured meat to become marketable, competitive, and widely accepted.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Delphi method, a structured communication technique involving expert consensus.
- Engaged a panel of participants to forecast the future development of cultured meat.
- Collected and analyzed expert predictions regarding technological, economic, and social factors.
Main Results:
- Participants expressed skepticism about overcoming significant hurdles in mass production and reducing production costs by 2027.
- Consumer acceptance remains a major concern, with doubts about its widespread adoption within the projected timeframe.
- Despite challenges, the urgency for sustainable meat alternatives is acknowledged, driven by global warming impacts.
Conclusions:
- Significant advancements in research and development are crucial for cultured meat to achieve its potential.
- A shift in consumer perceptions and attitudes towards cultured meat is essential for market success.
- While promising, the widespread market integration of cultured meat by 2027 appears unlikely given current obstacles.
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