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Finding Needles in a Haystack: Determining Key Molecular Descriptors Associated with the Blood-brain Barrier Entry of

Subhabrata Majumdar1,2, Subhash C Basak3, Claudiu N Lungu4

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Molecular Informatics
|July 20, 2019
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Summary

Predicting chemical blood-brain barrier (BBB) entry is crucial. This study used molecular descriptors and QSAR modeling, finding that a small subset of key predictors improved accuracy for BBB entry prediction.

Keywords:
blood-brain barriermachine learningmolecular descriptorsquantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR)random foresttwo-deep cross validationvariable selection

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Area of Science:

  • Computational chemistry
  • Medicinal chemistry
  • Pharmacokinetics

Background:

  • The blood-brain barrier (BBB) restricts the entry of many chemicals into the central nervous system.
  • Accurate prediction of BBB penetration is vital for drug development and toxicology.
  • Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) models can predict chemical properties based on molecular structure.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and validate QSAR models for predicting the blood-brain barrier (BBB) entry of 415 chemicals.
  • To evaluate the predictive performance of two distinct sets of molecular descriptors and their combination.
  • To assess the impact of variable selection on QSAR model accuracy for BBB penetration.

Main Methods:

  • Calculation of two sets of molecular descriptors (579 and 198 descriptors) using Schrodinger, TopoCluj, Polly, and Triplet software.
  • Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR) formulation using a two-deep, repeated external validation method.
  • Application of random forest variable importance for feature selection.

Main Results:

  • Both descriptor sets, individually and combined, yielded QSAR models with reasonable prediction accuracy for BBB entry.
  • A variable selection approach, utilizing the top 5% of random forest predictors, resulted in a more accurate model than using all descriptors.
  • Identification of key molecular structural features influencing chemical BBB penetration.

Conclusions:

  • Molecular descriptors are effective in predicting chemical BBB entry.
  • Variable selection significantly enhances QSAR model performance for BBB penetration prediction.
  • The identified influential descriptors provide insights into the structural determinants of BBB permeability.