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Published on: May 28, 2019
The CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting atrial fibrillation in patients presenting with ST elevation myocardial
Fatih Aksoy1, Hasan Aydin Baş2, Ali Bağcı2
1MD. Associate Professor, Department of Cardiology, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi, Isparta, Turkey.
Insights
The CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores effectively predict new atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients experiencing ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). These scores, along with other clinical factors, aid in identifying high-risk individuals for AF post-STEMI.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Research
- Arrhythmia Studies
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia post-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).
- Existing scores like CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 assess thromboembolic risk in AF patients.
- The predictive value of these scores for new-onset AF in STEMI patients was previously unknown.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine the predictive capability of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for new-onset AF in STEMI patients.
- To identify clinical and laboratory predictors of AF following STEMI.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study of 696 STEMI patients.
- Development of predictive models using clinical and laboratory parameters.
- Multivariate regression analysis to identify AF predictors and assess score utility.
Main Results:
- Higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were observed in patients who developed AF (P < 0.001).
- Predictors of AF included CHA2DS2-VASc score (OR: 1.48), peak creatine kinase-myocardial binding, longer ICU stay, and non-use of renin-angiotensin system blockers.
- CHA2DS2-VASc scores demonstrated significant predictive value for new AF (C-statistic: 0.698).
Conclusions:
- CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores are valuable predictors of new-onset AF in STEMI patients.
- These scores can aid in risk stratification for AF development post-STEMI.
- Further research may refine risk prediction models incorporating these scores.
Background:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common form of supraventricular arrhythmia following ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). The CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 scores are used to estimate thromboembolic risk in cases of AF. Their usefulness in predicting the development of AF in patients presenting STEMI is unknown.
Objective:
To evaluate the predictive value of the CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores in patients with AF following STEMI.
Design And Setting:
This prospective cohort study on 696 patients with STEMI was conducted at a tertiary-level cardiology clinic in a public university hospital.
Methods:
Models including clinical and laboratory parameters were constructed to test the predictive value of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Patients were divided into two groups: with and without AF. Predictors of AF were determined using multivariate regression analysis.
Results:
In the patients with AF, CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were significantly higher than in those without AF (for both P < 0.001). Factors associated with AF in multivariate analyses included CHA2DS2-VASc score (odds ratio, OR: 1.48; 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.25-1.75; P < 0.001), peak creatine kinase-myocardial binding (OR: 1.002; 95% CI: 1.00-1.003; P = 0.0024), duration of the coronary intensive care unit stay (OR: 1.69; 95% CI: 1.24-12.30; P = 0.001) and no use of renin-angiotensin system blockers (OR: 2.16; 95% CI: 1.14-4.10; P = 0.0017). Receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed that CHA2DS2-VASc scores were significant predictors for new-onset AF (C-statistic: 0.698; 95% CI: 0.631-0.765; P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores predicted new AF in patients presenting STEMI.
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