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Megatrends in Infectious Diseases: The Next 10 to 15 Years

Sin Yew Wong1, Ban Hock Tan

  • 1Infectious Disease Partners Pte Ltd, Gleneagles Medical Centre, Singapore.

Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore
|August 5, 2019
PubMed

Insights

Infectious diseases remain a major global threat, causing millions of deaths annually. Addressing four key megatrends is crucial for future infection control and public health strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Global Health
  • Epidemiology
  • Infectious Diseases

Background:

  • The 1918 Spanish influenza pandemic caused an estimated 50 million global deaths.
  • Despite progress, infectious diseases still cause 13-15 million annual deaths, a trend projected to continue until 2050.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify and analyze major trends shaping the future of infectious diseases.
  • To inform strategies for mitigating the ongoing impact of infections on global mortality.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of historical pandemic data.
  • Identification and synthesis of current infectious disease megatrends.
  • Review of public health and scientific surveillance approaches.

Main Results:

  • Four key megatrends identified: emerging/re-emerging infections, antimicrobial resistance, demographic shifts, and technological advancements.
  • These trends present significant challenges to global health security.
  • Current mortality rates from infections are projected to persist without intervention.

Conclusions:

  • Understanding these megatrends is essential for the medical community to proactively shape the future of infectious disease control.
  • Integrated approaches involving enhanced surveillance, robust public health infrastructure, and effective translation of scientific discoveries are vital.
  • Future efforts must address the complex interplay of these trends to reduce infection-related mortality.

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