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Risk and Return in Village Economies.

Krislert Samphantharak1, Robert M Townsend2

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Summary
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This study introduces a framework to analyze risk and return for productive assets, crucial for understanding household enterprises in developing economies with limited financial markets. It differentiates between aggregate and idiosyncratic risks, impacting productivity measures and policy insights.

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Area of Science:

  • Economics
  • Development Economics
  • Financial Economics

Background:

  • Formal financial markets for real and financial assets are often thin in developing economies.
  • Households in these economies frequently run business enterprises and face both idiosyncratic and aggregate risks.
  • Understanding risk and return on productive capital is vital for economic analysis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a theory-based empirical framework for analyzing risk and return on productive capital assets.
  • To apply this framework to understand asset allocation in economies with limited formal markets.
  • To distinguish between aggregate and idiosyncratic risk and their implications for productivity.

Main Methods:

  • Developed a theory-based empirical framework.
  • Applied the framework to panel data from household business enterprises in Thai villages.
  • Decomposed risk and estimated risk premia, distinguishing aggregate from idiosyncratic risk.

Main Results:

  • Successfully applied the framework to Thai village households.
  • Quantified the risk premia faced by these households.
  • Demonstrated the importance of distinguishing between aggregate and idiosyncratic risk for productivity estimation.

Conclusions:

  • The developed framework provides valuable insights into risk and return on productive assets in developing economies.
  • Distinguishing risk types is critical for accurate productivity measurement.
  • Findings have significant policy implications for household enterprises and economic development.