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Updated: Jan 20, 2026

Acute Myocardial Infarction in Rats
Published on: February 16, 2011
Predicting Major Adverse Events in Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction.
Thomas Nestelberger1, Jasper Boeddinghaus2, Desiree Wussler3
1Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel (CRIB) and Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland; GREAT Network. Electronic address: https://twitter.com/thomas_nest.
The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) 0/1 hour algorithm effectively predicts major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in suspected acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. This algorithm balances efficacy and safety for MACE prediction.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Diagnostic Accuracy
- Biomarker Analysis
Background:
- Early and accurate detection of short-term major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction (AMI) remains a critical unmet clinical need.
- Current diagnostic strategies require optimization to improve patient outcomes and healthcare efficiency.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate if incorporating clinical judgment and electrocardiogram (ECG) findings with the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) 0/1 hour algorithm enhances MACE prediction.
- To compare the diagnostic performance of the ESC hs-cTn 0/1 hour algorithm against an extended algorithm for MACE and MACE + unstable angina (UA) prediction.
Main Methods:
- A prospective, multicenter diagnostic study enrolled 3,123 patients presenting to emergency departments with suspected AMI.
- The primary endpoint was 30-day MACE (all-cause death, cardiac arrest, AMI, cardiogenic shock, sustained ventricular arrhythmia, high-grade AV block).
- The secondary endpoint was 30-day MACE + UA requiring early revascularization.
Main Results:
- The ESC hs-cTn 0/1 hour algorithm successfully triaged more patients for rule-out (60%) compared to the extended algorithm (45%), maintaining similar 30-day MACE rates (0.6% vs. 0.4%) and negative predictive values (99.4% vs. 99.6%).
- Fewer patients were ruled-in using the ESC hs-cTn 0/1 hour algorithm (16%) versus the extended algorithm (26%), but with a higher positive predictive value (76.6% vs. 59%).
- Similar performance trends were observed using both hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI assays.
Conclusions:
- The ESC hs-cTn 0/1 hour algorithm demonstrates a superior balance between efficacy and safety for predicting 30-day MACE.
- The extended algorithm may be preferable for ruling out MACE + UA, highlighting a nuanced approach based on clinical endpoints.
- The study, Advantageous Predictors of Acute Coronary Syndromes Evaluation (APACE), provides valuable insights into optimizing AMI diagnosis.
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