Evaluating the July Effect in Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery: Part I-Mandibular Fractures

The purpose of this study was to determine whether the timing of mandibular fracture repair within the academic year affects the complication rate using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) database.

The ACS-NSQIP database was accessed and queried from 2008 to 2017 for all Current Procedural Terminology codes pertaining to open treatment of mandibular fractures. The cases were stratified into 2 groups based on academic quarter: the quarter 1 (Q1) group (July-September) and the remaining-quarters group. The inclusion criteria encompassed all Current Procedural Terminology codes in the ACS-NSQIP registry that defined mandibular fractures and age greater than 18 years. Demographic characteristics, as well as medical and surgical complications, were compared between the 2 cohorts. Descriptive statistics were calculated to characterize and compare patient cohorts, and Fisher exact test and χ² analyses were performed to compare complication rates between groups.

The Q1 group included 614 cases, and the remaining-quarters group included 1,454. The most common individual complications included wound dehiscence (1.6% overall; 2.1% in Q1 group vs 1.4% in remaining-quarters group, P = .22), combined superficial and deep-space infection (4.9% overall; 4.4% in Q1 group vs 3.3% in remaining-quarters group; P = .91 and P = .21, respectively), and reoperation (3.9% overall; 4.6% in Q1 group vs 3.6% in remaining-quarters group, P = .29). Medical complications including acute kidney injury, venous thromboembolism, urinary tract infection, and sepsis or septic shock were rare (<1%). Complication rates did not significantly differ between the third quarter and the remainder of the year on bivariate analysis.

Our results do not support the idea of a "July effect" regarding postoperative outcomes after mandibular fracture repair. Further studies are needed to elucidate this phenomenon within all procedures under the wide umbrella of the specialty.