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The PSID and Income Volatility: Its Record of Seminal Research and Some New Findings
1Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science
|November 1, 2019
Summary
The Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) is crucial for understanding income volatility. New findings show income volatility increased significantly during the Great Recession.
Area of Science:
- Economics
- Sociology
- Demography
Background:
- The Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) is a cornerstone dataset for U.S. income volatility research.
- Its longitudinal data has facilitated seminal studies, offering unparalleled insights into economic fluctuations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explain the PSID's significant contributions to income volatility research.
- To review key studies utilizing the PSID and compare their findings with other datasets.
- To present updated analyses of income volatility trends in U.S. men through 2014.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of longitudinal data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID).
- Comparative analysis of research findings across different datasets.
- Examination of gross income volatility and variance of transitory shocks.
Main Results:
- The PSID's design and data quality are key to its research impact.
- Income volatility among U.S. men shows a distinct three-phase trend: increase (1970s-1980s), stability (1990s-early 2000s), and a sharp rise during the Great Recession.
- Gross volatility and the variance of transitory shocks followed this trend.
Conclusions:
- The PSID remains an indispensable resource for studying economic instability.
- Income volatility experienced a notable surge coinciding with the Great Recession.
- Understanding these trends is vital for economic policy and social welfare analysis.
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