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The association between charlson comorbidity index and mortality in acute coronary syndrome - the MADDEC study
Markus Hautamäki1, Leo-Pekka Lyytikäinen1,2,3, Shadi Mahdiani1,4
1Faculty of Medicine and Health Technology, Tampere University, Tampere, Finland.
Insights
The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and its components do not significantly improve mortality prediction in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients beyond the GRACE score. This study re-evaluated CCI
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Internal Medicine
- Geriatrics
Background:
- Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) presents a significant mortality risk.
- The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was developed over 30 years ago to assess comorbidity impact on long-term survival.
- Re-evaluation of CCI's performance in contemporary ACS patient populations is warranted.
Purpose of the Study:
- To re-evaluate the performance of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and its individual components in predicting mortality in ACS patients.
- To compare the prognostic value of CCI against the established GRACE score in a modern cohort.
- To assess the added value of CCI components for risk prediction beyond the GRACE score.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 1576 consecutive ACS patients treated between 2015-2016.
- Mortality analysis at 1, 6, and 24 months post-evaluation.
- Comparison of CCI performance with the GRACE score using Cox regression and AUC values.
Main Results:
- Most CCI components showed significant association with mortality after age adjustment.
- Only diabetes and congestive heart failure remained significant predictors after GRACE score adjustment.
- CCI demonstrated modest prognostic performance (AUC 0.755-0.784), with improved accuracy over longer follow-up periods.
- Adding CCI components did not significantly enhance risk prediction compared to the GRACE score alone.
Conclusions:
- The Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and its individual components offer no significant additional prognostic value for mortality in ACS patients up to two years post-discharge when compared to the GRACE score.
- The GRACE score remains a primary tool for risk stratification in ACS.
- Further research may explore updated comorbidity indices for contemporary ACS populations.
Abstract:
Objectives. Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is associated with high mortality. Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) was designed over 30 years ago to measure the impact of pre-existing comorbidities on long-term survival of the patient. We wanted to re-evaluate the performance of CCI and its components in modern setting. Design. This is a retrospective study of 1576 consecutive patients undergoing invasive evaluation and treated for ACS in single tertiary center between 2015-2016. Mortality was analyzed in timeframes of 1, 6 and 24 months. CCI-scores were retrieved from written medical records and complimented with data from electronic sources. The performance of CCI and its components was compared to the GRACE-score measuring patients' status upon hospital admission. Results. Population mean age at baseline was 69.3 (SD 11.8) years and 69.1% of the patients were male (n = 1089). Most of the components of CCI associated significantly with mortality at all timeframes despite adjusting for age but only diabetes and congestive heart failure associated with mortality at all time points after adjusting for GRACE-score. CCI associated with mortality [GRACE adjusted HR-values of single unit increase of CCI after 1, 6 and 24-month follow-up: 1.12(95% CI:1.00-1.25), 1.17(1.07-1.29) and 1.24(1.16-1.33)]. CCI performed modestly with its AUC-values ranging between 0.755 and 0.784, with prognostic performance increasing with longer follow-up. Adding components of CCI did not significantly improve risk prediction over GRACE-score. Conclusions. In conclusion, CCI or its individual components measuring the impact of comorbidities on overall mortality does not provide any significant value compared to GRACE-score during up to 2 years of follow-up.
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