Residual tumor volume discriminates prognosis after surgery for neuroendocrine liver metastasis

We developed objective measurements of preoperative and residual tumor volume, and debulking rate, to evaluate their prognostic value for neuroendocrine liver metastasis (NELM).

Seventy-three patients who underwent surgery for NELM were analyzed retrospectively. Indices of preoperative and postoperative residual tumor volume (pre-volume index [VI] and post-VI) were calculated as the sum of the cubes of individual tumor diameters on preoperative and postoperative imaging, respectively. The debulking rate (%) was calculated as 100 - 100 × post-VI/pre-VI. The classification and regression trees method was used to classify pre-VI and post-VI.

Overall survival (OS) was discriminated by preoperative tumor volume (5-year OS rates, 87.8% for low pre-VI and 60.1% for high pre-VI; P = .037) and residual tumor volume (5-year OS rates, 88.1% for low post-VI and 24.8% for high post-VI; P < .001). In contrast, debulking rates of 100%, ≥90%, and <90% did not discriminate OS (5-year OS rates, 88.0%, 61.9%, and 58.9%, respectively, not significant). In multivariate analysis, residual tumor volume (high post-VI, hazard ratio, 6.40; 95% confidence interval, 1.45-32.3) was an independent prognostic factor for OS.

Objective measurement of tumor volume demonstrates that residual tumor volume is prognostic after surgery for NELM.