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Published on: July 24, 2016
Regional water resource carrying capacity evaluation based on multi-dimensional precondition cloud and risk matrix
Chengguo Wu1, Liyang Zhou2, Juliang Jin3
1School of Civil Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui 230009, China; Institute of Water Resources and Environmental Systems Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei, Anhui 230009, China.
Water resource carrying capacity modeling improved in Anhui, China from 2005-2015. The new PCRM model effectively quantifies carrying capacity and reveals underlying mechanisms for better water resource management.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Water Resource Management
- Systems Engineering
Background:
- Understanding the interaction between socio-economic development and water resources is crucial for sustainable management.
- Quantifying regional water resource carrying capacity requires robust modeling approaches.
- Existing models may not fully capture the complex dynamics of water resource systems.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a novel model for quantifying regional water resource carrying capacity.
- To explore the interaction mechanisms within water resource carrying systems.
- To assess the trend of water resource carrying capacity in Anhui province, China.
Main Methods:
- Dividing the water resource carrying system into pressure, support, and regulation forces subsystems.
- Utilizing the multi-dimensional precondition cloud algorithm to quantify index belonging degrees.
- Coupling the multi-dimensional precondition cloud with a risk matrix and index weights to establish the PCRM model.
Main Results:
- The PCRM model successfully quantified water resource carrying capacity and revealed carrying mechanisms.
- Water resource carrying capacity in Anhui province showed a slight improving trend from 2005 to 2015 at both provincial and city scales.
- PCRM model evaluations aligned well with average characteristic values from other approaches.
Conclusions:
- The PCRM coupling model is effective in exploring the properties of indexes and subsystems within water resource carrying systems.
- The model provides a reliable method for recognizing carrying grades and understanding carrying mechanisms.
- The PCRM model has potential for application in other system evaluation and regulation research fields.
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