Comparison of Modeling Methods for DoE-Based Holistic Upstream Process Characterization

Upstream bioprocess characterization and optimization are time and resource-intensive tasks. Regularly in the biopharmaceutical industry, statistical design of experiments (DoE) in combination with response surface models (RSMs) are used, neglecting the process trajectories and dynamics. Generating process understanding with time-resolved, dynamic process models allows to understand the impact of temporal deviations, production dynamics, and provides a better understanding of the process variations that stem from the biological subsystem. The authors propose to use DoE studies in combination with hybrid modeling for process characterization. This approach is showcased on Escherichia coli fed-batch cultivations at the 20L scale, evaluating the impact of three critical process parameters. The performance of a hybrid model is compared to a pure data-driven model and the widely adopted RSM of the process endpoints. Further, the performance of the time-resolved models to simultaneously predict biomass and titer is evaluated. The superior behavior of the hybrid model compared to the pure black-box approaches for process characterization is presented. The evaluation considers important criteria, such as the prediction accuracy of the biomass and titer endpoints as well as the time-resolved trajectories. This showcases the high potential of hybrid models for soft-sensing and model predictive control.