Thinner Average Choroidal Thickness Is a Risk Factor for the Onset of Diabetic Retinopathy

To analyze the relationships between choroidal thickness (CT) and diabetes mellitus (DM), diabetic retinopathy (DR), and DR severity in community residents diagnosed with type 2 DM, and to explore whether CT can improve the discriminatory ability of other risk factors to predict the incidence of DR.

A total of 1,250 type 2 DM residents and 1,027 healthy controls in Xinjing community of Shanghai participated a cross-sectional survey of eye diseases in 2016. CT was measured using swept-source optical coherence tomography. DR was classified according to the 2002 international clinical classification of DR. A total of 537 subjects with type 2 DM without DR at the 2016 survey were followed up in 2018 to investigate the 2-year incidence of DR. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to test the accuracy of different indicators in predicting the onset of DR.

The central CT of the control, no DR, mild non-proliferative DR (NPDR), moderate NPDR, severe NPDR, and PDR groups were 223.40, 216.22, 213.57, 211.91, 178.47, and 168.15 μm, respectively (p for trend <0.001), and the average CT (ACT) were 197.83, 186.94, 182.03, 178.00, 156.91, and 136.72 μm respectively (p for trend <0.001). Body mass index (BMI), DM duration, fasting blood glucose, glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1C), and ACT were risk factors for 2-year DR incidence. For the onset of DR, as predicted by ACT, after tenfold cross validation the average area under the curve was 0.55 (p = 0.048). Addition of ACT did not improve the discriminatory ability of DM duration, BMI, glucose and HbA1C on the incidence of DR (Z = 0.48; p = 0.63).

As the severity of DR increased, the CT of community type 2 DM patients showed a significant downward trend compared with the healthy controls. Thinner ACT was found to be a risk factor for DR incidence, but it did not improve the discriminatory ability of other risk factors to predict the incidence of DR.