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Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study
Published on: February 2, 2017
Early life weight patterns and risk of obesity at 5 years: A population-based cohort study
Serena Broccoli1, Olivera Djuric2, Laura Bonvicini1
1Epidemiology Unit, Azienda Unità Sanitaria Locale - IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Italy.
Insights
Childhood obesity risk at age 5 is strongly linked to BMI at age 3. Early intervention for overweight or obese 3-year-olds could prevent most cases of childhood obesity.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Childhood obesity presents a significant public health challenge in industrialized nations.
- Understanding early risk factors is crucial for effective prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the risk of obesity at age 5 based on Body Mass Index (BMI) at age 3.
- To evaluate the impact of BMI z-score changes from birth to age 3 on obesity risk at age 5.
Main Methods:
- A population-based study involving 5173 children.
- Collection of BMI data at ages 3 and 5, linked to birth weight information.
- Statistical analysis including odds ratios (OR) and confidence intervals (CI).
Main Results:
- The prevalence of obesity at age 5 was 3.8%.
- Children overweight or obese at age 3 faced significantly higher risks (18.6% and 62% respectively) of obesity at age 5.
- While BMI z-score increases from birth to age 3 correlate with obesity risk, this association diminishes when controlling for BMI at age 3.
Conclusions:
- BMI status at age 3 is a strong predictor of obesity at age 5.
- Targeting preventive interventions for the 9.8% of 3-year-olds who are overweight or obese could potentially address 71% of future childhood obesity cases.
- Focusing interventions on early childhood BMI provides a promising avenue for mitigating long-term obesity risks.
Abstract:
Childhood obesity is a major public health problem in industrialized countries. The aim of this study was to estimate the risk of obesity at age 5 based on BMI categories at age 3 and changes in BMI z-score from birth to 3 years of age. In this population-based study BMI data of 5173 children were collected at ages 3 and 5 and were linked to information relative to birth weight. The prevalence of obesity at age 5 was 3.8%. The risk of obesity for children born large for gestational age was 6.5%, while it was 18.6% for children overweight at age 3 and 62% for children who were obese at 3. An increase in BMI z-score from birth to 3 years increases the risk of obesity at age 5 (OR for increase of one standard deviation 2.8%; 95% CI: 2.46-3.20), but adjusting for BMI z-score at age 3, the effect of trajectory disappears (OR 1.08 95% CI: 0.9-1.29). In other words, if one targeted early preventive interventions to 3-year-olds affected by overweight/obesity (only 9.8% of the study cohort), one could possibly address 71% of children potentially affected by obesity at age 5.
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