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Towards a Smart Smoking Cessation App: A 1D-CNN Model Predicting Smoking Events
Maryam Abo-Tabik1, Nicholas Costen1, John Darby1
1Department of Computing and Mathematics, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Manchester Metropolitan University, M15 6BH Manchester, United Kingdom.
This study introduces a novel deep learning model to predict smoking urges by analyzing daily routines and triggers. The model accurately forecasts smoking events, aiding in smoking cessation efforts.
Area of Science:
- Digital Health
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
- Behavioral Science
Background:
- Nicotine addiction is a significant public health issue with high relapse rates.
- Smoking behavior often becomes habitual, triggered by internal and external cues.
- Current smoking cessation apps require user-initiated input, limiting their effectiveness.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an intelligent system for predicting smoking events.
- To overcome the limitations of existing smoking cessation applications.
- To personalize smoking cessation support by learning individual smoker routines.
Main Methods:
- Combined Control Theory and deep learning (1D-CNN) model.
- Utilized mobile device data (motion, geolocation) to learn smoker routines.
- Compared 1D-CNN against SVM and Decision Tree models.
Main Results:
- 1D-CNN model achieved an average accuracy of 86.6% in predicting smoking events.
- Accurate prediction of smoking events was observed when users actively engaged with the app.
- Mean Squared Error for nicotine level forecasting was 0.04 (weekdays) and 0.03 (weekends).
Conclusions:
- The developed model effectively predicts individual smoking events.
- This approach offers a more adaptive and personalized smoking cessation support system.
- Integration with mobile sensing shows promise for real-time intervention in smoking cessation.
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