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A model of crop diversification under labor shocks.
Allegra A Beal Cohen1, Jasmeet Judge2, Rachata Muneepeerakul1
1Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, United States of America.
Plos One
|March 4, 2020
Summary
Crop diversification enhances farm resilience to labor shortages, especially for high-value crops. However, its effectiveness diminishes as more farms adopt it, necessitating careful policy consideration.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Science
- Environmental Science
- Economics
Background:
- Increasing agricultural demands necessitate strategies balancing yield enhancement with reduced environmental impact.
- Mathematical modeling aids decision-making for current and future agricultural practices.
- Labor shocks pose a significant risk to farm operational robustness.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of crop diversification on simulated farm robustness under labor shocks.
- To analyze the efficacy of diversifying into high-value, labor-intensive crops.
- To assess the influence of widespread crop diversification adoption on its own value.
Main Methods:
- Development of a simulation model to assess farm performance under varying labor availability.
- Application of the model to a case study inspired by Florida's high-value fruit production system.
- Analysis of farm robustness under different levels of labor shock and crop diversification strategies.
Main Results:
- Crop diversification into high-value crops demonstrates robustness under mild labor shocks.
- The benefits of crop diversification decrease as its adoption becomes more widespread among farms.
- Farm-level benefits of diversification are contingent on broader market and systemic effects.
Conclusions:
- Crop diversification is a valuable management strategy for agricultural producers facing specific conditions, particularly labor shocks.
- Policies promoting crop diversification should account for potential market saturation and diminishing returns.
- A holistic approach considering both farm-level advantages and systemic consequences is crucial for effective agricultural policy.
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