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Validation of an Electronic Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 Score in a Mixed Quaternary PICU
Emily L Joyce1,2,3, Christine M Crana1, Jonathan Yabes4,5
1Division of Nephrology, Department of Pediatrics, UPMC Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA.
Insights
An electronic Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score accurately predicts outcomes in pediatric intensive care units. This validated electronic health record tool offers reliable patient risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric critical care medicine
- Health informatics
- Clinical epidemiology
Background:
- The Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 (PIM2) score is a validated tool for assessing pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) patient mortality risk.
- Electronic health records (EHRs) offer a rich data source for clinical research, but require validated scoring systems for retrospective analysis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the validity and accuracy of an electronic version of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score (ePIM2) using retrospective EHR data.
- To determine if ePIM2 can reliably predict mortality in a mixed-ICU population.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective observational study was conducted in pediatric and cardiac ICUs.
- The PIM2 score was adapted for retrospective EHR data analysis.
- The ePIM2 was validated against manually ascertained PIM2 scores in 100 patients and assessed for discrimination, calibration, and accuracy in 12,582 patient encounters.
Main Results:
- Nine out of 11 PIM2 components showed good agreement (ICC or Cohen κ ≥ 0.6) between manual and electronic derivations.
- The ePIM2 demonstrated good discrimination (AUC = 0.89), appropriate calibration (no significant difference between observed and expected deaths), and excellent predictive ability (Brier score = 0.0135).
Conclusions:
- The electronic version of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score is a valid and accurate tool for retrospective analysis of EHR data.
- ePIM2 can be reliably used for risk stratification and outcome prediction in large mixed-ICU cohorts.
Objective:
To assess the validity of an electronic version of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score.
Design:
Retrospective observational study.
Setting:
Pediatric and cardiac ICUs at a quaternary medical center.
Patients:
Patients more than 60 days old admitted to the PICU or cardiac ICU between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2014.
Interventions:
None.
Measurements And Main Results:
After adapting the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score into a version applicable to retrospective electronic health record data, it was validated in a mixed-ICU cohort. A manually ascertained Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score was directly compared with the electronically derived electronic version of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score in 100 randomly selected patients with good agreement between score components with nine out of 11 components having an intraclass correlation coefficient or Cohen κ greater than or equal to 0.6. In assessing the electronic version of the Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score in the entire cohort of 12,582 patient encounters, it had good discrimination with area under the receiver operating curve of 0.89, appropriate calibration with no significant difference between observed and expected deaths, and excellent predictive ability with a Brier score of 0.0135.
Conclusions:
The Pediatric Index of Mortality 2 score can be adapted to utilize retrospective electronic health record data with acceptable discrimination, calibration and accuracy a large mixed-ICU cohort.
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