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Flavored E-Cigarette Sales in the United States Under Self-Regulation From January 2015 Through October 2019
Alex Liber1, Zachary Cahn1, Aidan Larsen1
1The authors are with the Economic and Health Policy Research, Intramural Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA. Alex Liber is also with the Department of Health Management and Policy, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. Aidan Larsen is also with the Department of Health Policy and Management, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA.
Abstract:
Objectives. To describe the evolution of flavored e-cigarette sales since the expansion of the JUUL brand, and to describe the effect of JUUL's November 2018 decision to self-regulate the flavors it sold in stores on flavored e-cigarette sales.Methods. We used Scantrack data on sales of e-cigarettes in the United States from January 2015 to October 2019 provided by The Nielsen Company. National sales values were aggregated monthly in 5 flavor categories (fruit, menthol/mint, sweet, tobacco, and other).Results. The expansion of JUUL sales coincided with an expansion in fruit-flavor sales through October 2018. Once JUUL withdrew fruit and sweet flavors from stores, menthol/mint came to dominate the e-cigarette market, but through 2019, a new surge in fruit-flavor sales by non-JUUL brands was observed.Conclusions. After a decline in sales following JUUL's decision to withdraw some flavored products from stores, JUUL sales recovered within weeks and surpassed their previous maximum in those same channels, as consumption shifted to the menthol/mint and tobacco flavors that remained on shelves.Public Health Implications. These trends suggest shortcomings of self-regulation and highlight the utility of government regulation.
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