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Updated: Dec 22, 2025

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Multiple sclerosis in a multi-ethnic population from Northern California: a retrospective analysis, 2010-2016
Robert J Romanelli1, Qiwen Huang2, Joseph Lacy3
1Sutter Health, Palo Alto Medical Foundation Research Institute, Center for Health Systems Research, Palo Alto, CA, USA. romanerj1@sutterhealth.org.
Background:
Research is needed to examine differences in multiple sclerosis (MS) prevalence by race-ethnicity. The goal of this study was to quantify MS prevalence in a health care system in Northern California and examine differences in prevalence and phenotype by race-ethnicity.
Methods:
We conducted a retrospective, observational cohort study of adults (2010-2016). MS prevalence estimates were standardised to distributions of gender and race-ethnicity for the underlying geographic region and stratified by gender and race-ethnicity with age adjustment. We performed a chart review of a racial-ethnic stratified sample of patients to examine disease phenotypes.
Results:
1,058,102 patients were identified, of which 3286 had MS. The overall direct-standardised prevalence was 288.0 cases per 100,000 population (95% confidence interval: 276.3-299.8). Age-adjusted prevalence ranged from 677.0 per 100,000 among non-Hispanic black women to 49.7 per 100,000 among non-Hispanic Asian men. Non-Hispanic blacks compared with other groups more often had primary-progressive (10.0% vs. 0.0-4.0%) or progressive-relapsing MS (6.0% vs. 0.0-2.0%).
Conclusions:
In this Northern Californian Cohort, between 2010 and 2016 the direct-standardised MS prevalence was estimated at 288.0 per 100,000 population, and increased over time. Non-Hispanic blacks, especially women, were disproportionately affected and had less common, earlier progressive MS phenotypes.
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