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In Defense of P Values
1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
JNCI Cancer Spectrum
|May 7, 2020
Summary
Statistical significance tests and P values are debated, but remain valuable tools. Correctly applied, statistical testing supports the scientific method, especially with increased transparency and reproducibility.
Area of Science:
- Statistics
- Scientific Methodology
- Research Integrity
Background:
- A recent controversy questions the use of statistical significance tests and P values.
- Prominent statisticians have suggested discouraging or eliminating their use, causing confusion among researchers.
- Criticism stems from concerns that P values encourage poor scientific practices and lead to inaccurate findings.
Purpose of the Study:
- To address the controversy surrounding statistical significance tests and P values.
- To clarify the role of statistical methods in scientific research.
- To emphasize the importance of the scientific method's truth-seeking tradition.
Main Methods:
- Commentary and discussion of existing statistical practices and criticisms.
- Analysis of the historical context of P value controversy.
- Exploration of human nature's influence on data interpretation and presentation.
Main Results:
- The core issue is attributed to human nature and the tendency to favor one's own theories.
- A 'celebrity culture' in academia, journals, and media exacerbates the problem.
- Initiatives promoting transparency, reproducibility, and replicability are crucial for reinforcing scientific integrity.
Conclusions:
- Statistical testing, when used correctly, retains a vital role in scientific research.
- Reinforcing the truth-seeking tradition of science is essential.
- Addressing human biases is key to overcoming challenges associated with statistical interpretation.
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