A machine learning approach to estimation of phase diagrams for three-component lipid mixtures

The plasma membrane of eukaryotic cells is commonly believed to contain ordered lipid domains. The interest in understanding the origin of such domains has led to extensive studies on the phase behavior of mixed lipid systems. Three-component phase diagrams, composed of a high melting temperature (Tm) lipid, cholesterol, and a low Tm lipid have been valuable in studying lipid phase behavior. However, developing phase diagrams over the entire composition space and with precise tie-lines requires significant experimental effort. In this study, a machine learning approach was used to predict the Tm of lipids and generate phase diagrams from lipid mixtures. First, artificial neural network (ANN) was used for the prediction of Tm. The network was trained using available Tm data and was able to generate Tm values that closely matched literature results for its testing dataset. This model was then used to predict the Tm for lipids that have not yet been experimentally tested. Then, random forests (RF) and support vector machines (SVM) were trained and tested for their ability to predict a test three-component phase diagram. The model from the RF algorithm was able to generate a diagram that closely matched published results. This model was then used to generate phase diagrams for lipid mixtures at various temperatures and various degrees of unsaturation. This machine learning approach to the generation of lipid phase diagrams has the potential to save significant time and resources in studies of lipid phase behavior.