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Doubling Time of the COVID-19 Epidemic by Chinese Province
Kamalich Muniz-Rodriguez1, Gerardo Chowell1, Chi-Hin Cheung1
1Georgia Southern University, Statesboro, GA, USA (K. Muniz-Rodriguez, D. Jia, M. Liu, S. K. Ofori, I. C.-H. Fung); Georgia State University, Atlanta, GA, USA (G. Chowell, Y. Lee, K. M. Roosa); Independent researcher (C.-H. Cheung); Boston University, Boston, MA, USA (P.-Y. Lai); Roskilde University, Roskilde, Denmark (L. Simonsen); The National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA (G. Chowell, C. Viboud).
Abstract:
COVID-19 epidemic doubling time by Chinese province was increasing from January 20 through February 9, 2020. The harmonic mean of the arithmetic mean doubling time estimates ranged from 1.4 (Hunan, 95% CI, 1.2-2.0) to 3.1 (Xinjiang, 95% CI, 2.1-4.8), with an estimate of 2.5 days (95% CI, 2.4-2.6) for Hubei.
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