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Efficient or Fair? Operationalizing Ethical Principles in Flood Risk Management: A Case Study on the Dutch-German
Alessio Ciullo1,2,3,4, Jan H Kwakkel3, Karin M De Bruijn4
1Institute of Geography, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
New flood risk management frameworks can balance cost-efficiency with fairness. By considering risk distribution, policies can ensure equitable protection across all areas, not just optimize overall costs.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Science
- Hydrology
- Risk Management
Background:
- Current flood risk management often uses cost-benefit analysis, neglecting geographical risk distribution and fairness.
- This can lead to policies that disproportionately affect certain areas for overall cost reduction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a novel decision criterion for flood risk management that incorporates the distribution of risk reduction.
- To apply this criterion to a transboundary Rhine River case study, evaluating different flood control interventions.
Main Methods:
- Developed and applied four alternative formulations for flood risk management, incorporating various ethical principles and equity criteria.
- Analyzed three intervention types: embankment heightening, Room for the River, and altering river discharge distribution.
- Evaluated the trade-offs between economic performance and risk distribution equity.
Main Results:
- Cost-optimization approaches resulted in poor outcomes in specific regions to minimize aggregate costs.
- Equity-focused formulations showed varied results; equal risk reduction led to poor economic performance.
- Distributing risk equally aligned economic performance with cost-optimization but achieved fairer risk distribution.
- Intervention choices differed: cost-optimization favored discharge changes, while equity-focused methods prioritized embankments and Room for the River.
Conclusions:
- The proposed decision criterion enhances flood risk management by integrating risk distribution.
- Considering equity alongside cost is crucial for developing fairer and more effective flood protection policies.
- The choice of risk reduction measures is significantly influenced by the inclusion of fairness considerations.
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