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Ring vaccination strategy in networks: A mixed percolation approach
Lautaro Vassallo1, Matías A Di Muro1, Debmalya Sarkar2
1Instituto de Investigaciones Físicas de Mar del Plata (IFIMAR-CONICET) and Departamento de Física, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad Nacional de Mar del Plata, 7600 Mar del Plata, Argentina.
Abstract:
Ring vaccination is a mitigation strategy that consists in seeking and vaccinating the contacts of a sick patient, in order to provide immunization and halt the spread of disease. We study an extension of the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model with ring vaccination in complex and spatial networks. Previously, a correspondence between this model and a link percolation process has been established, however, this is only valid in complex networks. Here, we propose that the SIR model with ring vaccination is equivalent to a mixed percolation process of links and nodes, which offers a more complete description of the process. We verify that this approach is valid in both complex and spatial networks, the latter being built according to the Waxman model. This model establishes a distance-dependent cost of connection between individuals arranged in a square lattice. We determine the epidemic-free regions in a phase diagram based on the wiring cost and the parameters of the epidemic model (vaccination and infection probabilities and recovery time). In addition, we find that for long recovery times this model maps into a pure node percolation process, in contrast to the SIR model without ring vaccination, which maps into link percolation.
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