Outcomes assessment in intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma using qualitative and quantitative imaging features

To assess the performance of imaging features, including radiomics texture features, in predicting histopathologic tumor grade, AJCC stage, and outcomes [time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS)] in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).

Seventy-three patients (26 M/47F, mean age 63y) with pre-operative imaging (CT, n = 37; MRI, n = 21; CT and MRI, n = 15] within 6 months of resection were included in this retrospective study. Qualitative imaging traits were assessed by 2 observers. A 3rd observer measured tumor apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC), enhancement ratios (ERs), and Haralick texture features. Blood biomarkers and imaging features were compared with histopathology (tumor grade and AJCC stage) and outcomes (TTR and OS) using log-rank, generalized Wilcoxon, Cox proportional hazards regression, and Fisher exact tests.

Median TTR and OS were 53.9 and 79.7 months. ICC recurred in 64.4% (47/73) of patients and 46.6% (34/73) of patients died. There was fair accuracy for some qualitative imaging features in the prediction of worse tumor grade (maximal AUC of 0.68 for biliary obstruction on MRI, p = 0.032, observer 1) and higher AJCC stage (maximal AUC of 0.73 for biliary obstruction on CT, p = 0.002, observer 2; and AUC of 0.73 for vascular involvement on MRI, p = 0.01, observer 2). Cox proportional hazards regression analysis showed that CA 19-9 [hazard ratio (HR) 2.44/95% confidence interval (CI) 1.31-4.57/p = 0.005)] and tumor size on imaging (HR 1.13/95% CI 1.04-1.22/p = 0.003) were significant predictors of TTR, while CA 19-9 (HR 4.08/95% CI 1.75-9.56, p = 0.001) and presence of metastatic lymph nodes at histopathology (HR 2.86/95% CI 1.35-6.07/p = 0.006) were significant predictors of OS. On multivariable analysis, satellite lesions on CT (HR 2.79/95%CI 1.01-7.15/p = 0.032, observer 2), vascular involvement on MRI (HR 0.10/95% CI 0.01-0.85/p = 0.032, observer 1), and texture feature MRI variance (HR 0.55/95% CI 0.31-0.97, p = 0.040) predicted TTR once adjusted for the independent predictors CA 19-9 and tumor size on imaging. Several qualitative and quantitative features demonstrated associations with TTR, OS, and AJCC stage at univariable analysis (range: HR 0.35-19; p < 0.001-0.045), however none were predictive of OS at multivariable analysis when adjusted for CA 19-9 and metastatic lymph nodes (p > 0.088).

There was reasonable accuracy in predicting tumor grade and higher AJCC stage in ICC utilizing certain qualitative and quantitative imaging traits. Serum CA 19-9, tumor size, presence of metastatic lymph nodes, and qualitative imaging traits of satellite lesions and vascular involvement are predictors of patient outcomes, along with a promising predictive ability of certain quantitative texture features.