Radiologists are increasingly recommending follow-up of chest radiographs: a 10-year review

To assess for changes in trends of GP chest radiograph reporting over a 10-year period and to assess if there has been a change in recommendations for follow-up.

Retrospective study of an Irish tertiary referral center. The total number of GP-referred chest x-rays performed per year from 2007 to 2017 are recorded. One-hundred male/100 female GP-referred chest x-rays are chosen at random from NIMIS data for each of 2007, 2010, 2013, and 2017. Reports are analyzed with regard to abnormal findings, recommendation for follow-up, and yield of follow-up imaging.

There were 4917 GP CXRs performed in 2007, 4856 in 2010, 5561 in 2013, and 6492 in 2017. Follow-up was recommended in 17 studies(8.5%) in 2007, 19 studies(9.5%) in 2010, 22 studies(11%) in 2013, and 27 studies(13.5%) in 2017. Indications for follow-up recommendation were largely to ensure resolution of infection (52%) or for nodule surveillance (43%). There has been a notable increase in lung nodule follow-up, with suggested follow-ups increasing from 6 in 2007, to 7 in 2010, 9 in 2013, and 14 in 2017, an increase of 58%.

Along with the increase in the quantity of GP-referred chest radiographs over the past 10 years, suggestions for follow-up have increased, particularly for nodule surveillance. Reasons for this increase may include lack of availability of CT to GPs for lung cancer screening, insensitivity of plain radiographs to early cancer detection, and possible fear of litigation for missing lesions, making radiologists more cautious.