The Current State of the Otolaryngology Workforce

A shortage of otolaryngologists is predicted for the coming decades, primarily because of an aging population and aging workforce. However, many factors affect the agility of the workforce to expand or contract. This article discusses what is known about factors of the current otolaryngology workforce, including trends in residency and fellowship training, diversity of the specialty, its geographic distribution, and the challenges of caring for an aging population. Predicting the shortage and possible solutions through modeling is complex and prone to errors caused by incomplete data and assumptions about otolaryngology's similarity to other specialties of medicine at large.