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Data-Driven Acid Fracture Conductivity Correlations Honoring Different Mineralogy and Etching Patterns.
Mahmoud Desouky1, Zeeshan Tariq1, Murtada Saleh Aljawad1
1College of Petroleum Engineering & Geosciences, King Fahd University of Petroleum & Minerals, Dhahran 31261, Saudi Arabia.
Machine learning models were developed to predict acid fracture conductivity in carbonate rocks, improving well productivity estimates. These models account for rock type and etching patterns, outperforming universal correlations.
Area of Science:
- Petroleum Engineering
- Geoscience
- Artificial Intelligence
Background:
- Acid fracturing is key for enhancing conductivity in tight carbonate formations.
- Accurate fracture conductivity estimation is vital for predicting well productivity.
- Existing models for acid fracture conductivity often lack specificity and introduce significant errors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop accurate conductivity correlations for acid-fractured carbonate rocks using machine learning.
- To create models that consider specific rock types and etching patterns.
- To improve the prediction of fractured well productivity.
Main Methods:
- Applied machine learning to 560 experimental acid fracture data points.
- Utilized data preprocessing, regularization, and feature selection.
- Developed a machine learning classifier for etching pattern prediction.
- Generated multivariate linear regression, ridge regression, and artificial neural network models.
Main Results:
- Achieved 93% accuracy in predicting etching patterns.
- Developed conductivity correlations with high correlation coefficients.
- Demonstrated superior performance compared to universal correlation models.
- Validated model performance using metrics like precision, accuracy, MSE, recall, and cross-validation.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning models effectively predict acid fracture conductivity in diverse carbonate rocks.
- Accounting for rock type and etching patterns enhances prediction accuracy.
- The developed models offer a more reliable approach to estimating fractured well productivity.
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