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Published on: November 15, 2013
Instantons for the Destabilization of the Inner Solar System
Eric Woillez1,2, Freddy Bouchet1
1Université Lyon, Ens de Lyon, Univ Claude Bernard, CNRS, Laboratoire de Physique, F-69342 Lyon, France.
Researchers explored chaotic systems and found that rare events, like inner Solar System destabilization, concentrate near a predictable path called an instanton. This finding applies to Mercury
Area of Science:
- Celestial mechanics
- Dynamical systems theory
- Statistical physics
Background:
- Rare events in dynamical systems can exhibit predictable patterns.
- Instanton theory, originating from physics, describes action minimizers in path integrals.
- The dynamics of the inner Solar System are complex and susceptible to rare destabilizing events.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether path probabilities concentrate near an instanton in chaotic deterministic systems.
- To apply instanton concepts to the dynamics of terrestrial Solar System bodies.
- To model and predict rare destabilizing events in the inner Solar System.
Main Methods:
- Developed a simple deterministic model for Mercury's dynamics.
- Utilized concepts from statistical physics and field theory (instanton theory).
- Computed the first exit time for a specific resonance in the model.
Main Results:
- Predicted the instanton associated with Mercury-Jupiter perihelion resonance.
- Demonstrated that path probabilities concentrate around this predicted instanton.
- Showed this concentration is significant for events occurring within a few hundred million years.
Conclusions:
- Path probabilities do concentrate near instantons in chaotic deterministic systems, specifically for Solar System dynamics.
- The instanton provides a valuable tool for predicting rare destabilizing events in celestial mechanics.
- Findings have implications for understanding the long-term stability of the actual Solar System.
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