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The Taboo Against Explicit Causal Inference in Nonexperimental Psychology.
Michael P Grosz1, Julia M Rohrer2,3, Felix Thoemmes4
1Department of Psychology, University of Münster.
Summary
Psychologists often avoid causal inference from nonexperimental data, hindering research progress and policy relevance. Openly discussing causal assumptions and effects can advance the field.
Area of Science:
- Psychology
- Causal Inference
- Research Methodology
Background:
- Causal inference is a primary research objective, yet psychologists often avoid explicit causal questions using nonexperimental evidence.
- This avoidance creates a taboo against causal inference, negatively impacting study design, data analysis, and cumulative research.
- Implicit causal interpretations are common, but underlying assumptions remain unarticulated, limiting scientific rigor.
Purpose of the Study:
- To advocate for openly addressing causal assumptions and effects in nonexperimental psychology.
- To highlight the detrimental effects of the current taboo on psychological research and its practical applications.
- To encourage the adoption of recent methodological advances in causal reasoning and analysis.
Main Methods:
- This study presents a conceptual argument and critique of current practices in nonexperimental psychology.
- It reviews the consequences of avoiding explicit causal inference.
- It proposes a shift towards open discussion of causal assumptions and effects.
Main Results:
- The taboo against causal inference impairs study design, data analysis, and cumulative research.
- It creates a disconnect between findings and their interpretation, limiting policy relevance.
- Implicit causal interpretations without articulated assumptions reduce scientific transparency.
Conclusions:
- Nonexperimental psychologists should openly discuss causal assumptions and effects to improve research quality.
- Embracing recent methodological advances in causal reasoning is crucial for understanding underlying mechanisms.
- This shift will enhance the relevance of psychological research for theory, future studies, and policymakers.
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