Machine learning for the prediction of pseudorealistic pediatric abdominal phantoms for radiation dose reconstruction

Purpose: Current phantoms used for the dose reconstruction of long-term childhood cancer survivors lack individualization. We design a method to predict highly individualized abdominal three-dimensional (3-D) phantoms automatically. Approach: We train machine learning (ML) models to map (2-D) patient features to 3-D organ-at-risk (OAR) metrics upon a database of 60 pediatric abdominal computed tomographies with liver and spleen segmentations. Next, we use the models in an automatic pipeline that outputs a personalized phantom given the patient's features, by assembling 3-D imaging from the database. A step to improve phantom realism (i.e., avoid OAR overlap) is included. We compare five ML algorithms, in terms of predicting OAR left-right (LR), anterior-posterior (AP), inferior-superior (IS) positions, and surface Dice-Sørensen coefficient (sDSC). Furthermore, two existing human-designed phantom construction criteria and two additional control methods are investigated for comparison. Results: Different ML algorithms result in similar test mean absolute errors: $$ for liver LR, IS, and spleen AP, IS; $$ for liver AP and spleen LR; $$ for abdomen sDSC; and $$ to 65% for liver and spleen sDSC. One ML algorithm (GP-GOMEA) significantly performs the best for 6/9 metrics. The control methods and the human-designed criteria in particular perform generally worse, sometimes substantially ( $$ error for spleen IS, $$ sDSC for liver). The automatic step to improve realism generally results in limited metric accuracy loss, but fails in one case (out of 60). Conclusion: Our ML-based pipeline leads to phantoms that are significantly and substantially more individualized than currently used human-designed criteria.