Identification of patients at high risk of fragility fractures in an Indian clinical setting using FRAX

A case-control study was done to decipher whether the FRAX tool was useful in India. Several values around the mean and median of the FRAX score of the case group were assessed to calculate sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, Youden's index and odds ratio, and to detect high-risk individuals.

The Fracture Risk Assessment Tool (FRAX) appears useful to diagnose fragility fractures. The study aims to answer whether the FRAX tool has utility in India.

One hundred ten cases with a history of recent fragility fractures and 84 controls with no fractures were included in the study. FRAX scores without bone mineral density (BMD), and also with it, of participants were calculated. Several cutoff FRAX scores were chosen around mean and median FRAX score of cases. The odds ratio was calculated along with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value and Youden's index. The most ideal cutoff was chosen to construct a hypothetical model to detect individuals at high risk.

The FRAX score with BMD and without BMD exhibited relatively high specificity and moderate to low sensitivity implying that FRAX scores above cutoff have diagnostic value. Cutoffs at which FRAX score without BMD exhibited high specificity (> 90%) were chosen to construct a hypothetical model. Patients with FRAX score without BMD in the intermediate range be advised dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) followed by recalculation of FRAX score with BMD. DEXA scan T score less than - 2.5 or FRAX score with BMD above the cutoff at which specificity was high (> 80%) were included to construct the hypothetical model. Patients with low FRAX score could be followed up. The hypothetical model was applied to the case group to analyse its detection potential.

FRAX has utility in India. It cuts the cost of screening and limits the use of expensive investigation.