Estimating the Binding of Sars-CoV-2 Peptides to HLA Class I in Human Subpopulations Using Artificial Neural Networks

Epidemiological studies show that SARS-CoV-2 infection leads to severe symptoms only in a fraction of patients, but the determinants of individual susceptibility to the virus are still unknown. The major histocompatibility complex (MHC) class I exposes viral peptides in all nucleated cells and is involved in the susceptibility to many human diseases. Here, we use artificial neural networks to analyze the binding of SARS-CoV-2 peptides with polymorphic human MHC class I molecules. In this way, we identify two sets of haplotypes present in specific human populations: the first displays weak binding with SARS-CoV-2 peptides, while the second shows strong binding and T cell propensity. Our work offers a useful support to identify the individual susceptibility to COVID-19 and illustrates a mechanism underlying variations in the immune response to SARS-CoV-2. A record of this paper's transparent peer review process is included in the Supplemental Information.