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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
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An Integrated Methodology to Study Riparian Vegetation Dynamics: From Field Data to Impact Modeling.

M Latella1, M B Bertagni1, P Vezza1

  • 1Department of Environmental, Land and Infrastructure Engineering Politecnico di Torino Turin Italy.

Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
|October 1, 2020
PubMed
Summary

This study calibrates an ecohydrological model for riparian vegetation using field data and modeling. Results show climate change may significantly reduce vegetation biomass and alter riverbank ecosystems.

Keywords:
flow‐vegetation interactionsimpact modelsmodel calibrationriparian vegetationstochastic processes

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Hydrology
  • Environmental Science

Background:

  • Riparian zones are dynamic ecosystems influenced by human activities and climate change.
  • Understanding vegetation dynamics is crucial for ecosystem services and biodiversity.
  • Anthropogenic impacts and climate change pose significant threats to riparian environments.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and calibrate an ecohydrological stochastic model for riparian vegetation.
  • To analyze the spatial dependence of vegetation parameters like carrying capacity and flood-related decay rate.
  • To predict the future impact of climate change on riparian vegetation biomass and biogeography.

Main Methods:

  • Integrated methodology combining field studies, numerical, and analytical modeling.
  • Calibration of an ecohydrological stochastic model using hydrological, topographical, and biological data.
  • Focus on biological parameters: carrying capacity and flood-related decay rate.

Main Results:

  • Flood-related decay rate shows spatial dependence linked to plant species zonation.
  • Carrying capacity is influenced by phreatic surface depth and described by a right-skewed curve.
  • The calibrated model accurately reproduced the Cinca River riparian zone's biogeography with low percentage absolute differences (9.3% and 3.3%).

Conclusions:

  • The calibrated model effectively simulates riparian vegetation biomass and biogeography.
  • Climate change projections indicate potential dramatic reductions in vegetation biomass and significant alterations to riparian ecosystems.
  • The study highlights the vulnerability of riparian vegetation to altered hydrological regimes under future climate scenarios.