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Published on: September 22, 2020
Arterial calcification and long-term outcome in chronic limb-threatening ischemia patients
Louise C.D. Konijn1, Richard Ap Takx2, Pim A de Jong2
1Haga Hospital, Department of Diagnostic and Interventional Radiology, the Netherlands; University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Department of Radiology, the Netherlands.
Insights
Annular arterial calcification in the legs predicts poor survival in chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLI) patients. This CT scan finding is a stronger predictor of mortality than traditional risk factors.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Medicine
- Radiology
- Cardiovascular Imaging
Background:
- Chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLI) carries a high mortality rate, with 50-60% of patients dying or undergoing amputation within five years.
- Identifying reliable prognostic markers is crucial for managing CLI patients and improving outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the predictive value of lower extremity arterial calcification characteristics on computed tomography (CT) for amputation-free survival and all-cause mortality in CLI patients.
- To determine if specific CT-assessed calcification patterns predict long-term outcomes in CLI.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 89 CLI patients who underwent lower extremity CT angiography.
- Assessment of calcification severity, annularity, thickness, and continuity in femoropopliteal and crural arteries using a CT score.
- Multivariate Cox regression analysis, adjusted for age and sex, to determine the predictive value of calcification characteristics on 7-year amputation-free survival and 10-year all-cause mortality.
Main Results:
- Complete annular calcifications were prevalent in both femoropopliteal (43.7%) and crural (63.2%) arteries.
- Patients with complete annular calcifications exhibited significantly higher 10-year all-cause mortality (adjusted HR 1.68 for femoropopliteal, P=0.04; adjusted HR 2.29 for crural, P=0.006).
- Mean survival time was 278.4 weeks.
Conclusions:
- Annularity of calcification in both femoropopliteal and crural arteries serves as a significant predictor of 10-year all-cause survival in CLI patients.
- This calcification pattern demonstrates a higher hazard ratio for mortality compared to traditional prognostic risk factors for CLI.
- CT-assessed arterial calcification annularity may play a key role in the poor prognosis observed in CLI patients.
Purpose:
Within five years after presentation 50-60% of patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (CLI) have died or had an amputation. We assessed the predictive value of lower extremity arterial calcification on computed tomography (CT) characteristics on both 7-years amputation-free survival and 10-years all-cause mortality in patients with CLI.
Method:
Included were 89 CLI patients (mean age 73.1 ± 11.6 years) who underwent a CT angiography of the lower extremities. In the femoropopliteal and crural arteries based on a CT score the following calcification characteristics were assessed: severity, annularity, thickness and continuity. The predictive value of different arterial calcification characteristics was analysed by age- and sex-adjusted multivariate Cox regression analysis.
Results:
Complete annular calcifications were common (femoropopliteal 43.7%, n = 38; crural, 63.2%, n = 55). Mean survival was 278.4 weeks (95% CI 238.77-318.0 weeks). Patients with complete annular calcifications had a higher all-cause 10-year mortality (femoropopliteal unadjusted HR 1.64, p = 0.04 and adjusted for age and sex HR 1.68, p = 0.04; crural unadjusted HR 1.92, p = 0.02, adjusted for age and sex HR 2.29, p = 0.006) than patients with other calcification characteristics.
Conclusions:
Annularity of calcification of both femoropopliteal and crural arteries is a predictor for 10-year all-cause survival, its hazard being even higher than the traditional prognostic risk factors for CLI and therefore could be involved in the poor survival of these patients.
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