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Driving Into the Future.

P A Hancock1

  • 1Department of Psychology and Institute of Simulation and Training, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, United States.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Human-controlled driving is expected to become a niche hobby, similar to other abandoned occupations. This shift will be driven by automation, particularly in professional transport, making driving a forgotten experience for future generations.

Keywords:
automationautonomous systemscognitiondrivinghuman factors

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Area of Science:

  • Transportation studies
  • Sociology of technology
  • Future studies

Background:

  • Human-controlled driving is a prevalent occupation and leisure activity.
  • Technological advancements are rapidly progressing towards autonomous systems.
  • Societal engagement with driving is evolving, with early indicators visible in demographic trends.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the long-term future of human-controlled driving.
  • To predict the trajectory of driving as an occupation and personal pursuit.
  • To examine the societal and generational impact of autonomous vehicle technology.

Main Methods:

  • Conjecture and analysis of current trends in transportation and technology.
  • Forecasting based on the historical precedent of other human occupations becoming obsolete.
  • Examination of demographic data related to vehicle usage and ownership.

Main Results:

  • Human driving is predicted to decline, becoming a niche activity for enthusiasts.
  • The transition to automation will be driven by optimization, starting in professional transportation.
  • Future generations may not experience manual driving, leading to its obsolescence.

Conclusions:

  • Autonomous technology will fundamentally reshape the landscape of driving.
  • The hedonic aspects of driving will diminish as automation becomes widespread.
  • The generational shift in experience will lead to human driving becoming a forgotten practice.