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On single point forecasts for fat-tailed variables

Nassim Nicholas Taleb1,2, Yaneer Bar-Yam3, Pasquale Cirillo4,5

  • 1Universa Investments, Miami, United States of America.

International Journal of Forecasting
|October 26, 2020
PubMed

Keywords:
COVID-19DebateEvidence-based scienceForecastingRisk fallaciesTail risk

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