Small bowel obstruction: computer-assisted prediction of strangulation at presentation

A multivariate computer analysis has been performed on the presenting data of patients with simple small bowel obstruction that settled with conservative treatment (n = 120) and of patients with viable strangulation small bowel obstruction (n = 38) and non-viable strangulation small bowel obstruction (n = 39) found at operation. Initially only 66 per cent of patients with viable strangulation and 46 per cent of those with non-viable strangulation had been treated by immediate surgery after resuscitation. The remainder had been treated conservatively for a median of 3.8 and 2.2 days respectively before undergoing surgery. The computer predicted on the basis of presenting symptoms and signs that 82 per cent of patients with viable strangulation and 97 per cent of those with non-viable strangulation had or would develop strangulation and should have undergone immediate surgery. We advocate that the computer can assist in the management of patients with small bowel obstruction.