A minimal number CpGs of ELOVL2 gene for a chronological age estimation using pyrosequencing

Chronological age estimation is an important piece of human identification used in forensic practice. Epigenetic modifications, especially DNA methylation, have been proposed to predict age. The methylation of the ELOVL2 gene is one of the age-related markers that could be tested in fresh or postmortem blood sample. We study the use of DNA methylation markers on the ELOVL2 gene and develop a prediction model to estimate the age from a postmortem blood sample using pyrosequencing. From 100 anonymous blood samples, a correlation study of DNA methylation and age was investigated. The regression analysis revealed 2 CpG sites for model prediction with an adjusted R² value of 0.7 (p < 0.01). The model explained 74% of the variation in postmortem blood samples (n = 36) with a prediction error (RMSE) of 10.2 years and a mean absolute deviation (MAD) of 7.1 years, whereas the model (excluding a younger age group) had improved with a RMSE of 5.6 years and a MAD of 4.2 years. The performance parameters were analyzed in several simulated models and indicated that these markers are advantageous for age estimation in forensic scenarios. Finally, a robustness and reproducibility of the pyrosequencing technique would enable this approach to be the part of an age prediction in forensic investigation.